that would put us at 259-257. it would leave us only ohio and new hampshire. you only get 4 in new hampshire, 18 in ohio. under any scenario, i could switch a few of these in plausible ways. under any scenario, this becomes the key, the 18 electoral votes here. if romney wins it, he's the next president of the united states. if the president can hold ohio, he's the next president of the united states. of the states i assigned, which are likely to be maybe a different way? the obama campaign says they think they'll win colorado. the obama campaign thinks they'll win one of these two. they think they can win both. let's be realistic here. this is actually four -- and it's a true tossup. we'll watch this one play. it won't be decisive unless you have other changes out here. for now, would you have to say, advantage president, if you look at the public polling in iowa, wisconsin and ohio, the president is narrowly ahead. in these other states, governor romney may be up one or tie. on paper, advantage to the president. the republicans say they'll prove this wrong t